Tracy, chief technology officer of Aerion Corp. and a director of the
Reno-based company, says the company expects production to begin on the
Aerion Supersonic Business Jet by 2016.
And the company has
enough believers that 50 buyers have placed orders — each including a
$250,000 deposit — and Aerion's backlog totals more than $4 billion.
Buyers
include at least five Indian companies as well as a sheik in the United
Arab Emirates who signed the first letter of intent to acquire one of
the craft.
The draw: A business-sized aircraft that can fly from
the East Coast of the United States to Asian destinations in a little
over nine hours, an aircraft that could beat the morning sun across the
Atlantic on flights from Paris to New York City.
“We are a disruptive technology,” says Tracy. “This will change aviation much as when we went from propellers to jets.”
But change, even disruptive change, comes slowly to the aircraft industry.
Aerion
traces its roots to 1968 when Bill Lear, the creator of the first
business jet, the Learjet, paid $1.3 million to buy the old Stead Air
Force Base and set up shop to develop advanced business jets.
Among
those fired up by Lear's vision was Tracy, who worked as chief engineer
of LearAvia. (The company's design for a craft it called the LearStar
600 has been the basis of Bombardier's family of Challenger aircraft
since the late 1970s.)
“This has been a passion of mine for a long time,” Tracy says.
The
key technology in Aerion's Supersonic Business Jet is laminar flow, a
design that dramatically reduces drag around an aircraft in flight and
allows a supersonic craft to operate at competitive costs with
traditional business jets.
While laminar flow design was
well-known in applications such as re-entry vehicles for spacecraft,
Tracy and the team at Aerion needed to conduct much of their research
from scratch.
“There wasn't any test data available for wings the size we were looking at for supersonic speeds,” he says.
Tests
in European and American facilities have confirmed that the laminar
flow design works. Aerion researchers now are conducting propulsion
integration tests in which they make sure that the Pratt & Whitney
engines planned for the aircraft will work with the rest of the design.
That
research moved into high speed in 2005 when Texas billionaire Robert
Bass led a group of venture capitalists who staked the company. Bass is
now chairman of the board of privately held Aerion.
The group led
by Bass sees a market for about 300 supersonic business jets during the
15 years after the craft are introduced. The price tag is expected to
be about $80 million per plane in 2008 dollars.
That makes a
total market of about $24 billion for the first generation of aircraft,
although Tracy envisions a family of supersonic business jets.
Development costs of the plane were estimated a couple of years ago at
between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion.
While the plane is
designed to cruise at more than 1,100 mph, Tracy says it would fly over
land areas in much of the world at a hair below the speed of sound to
prevent sonic booms.
While it conducts tests of the propulsion
system, Aerion also is in talks with undisclosed aircraft companies that
would build the craft. An established manufacturer, Tracy explains, has
systems and equipment in place that would be prohibitively expensive
for a company such as Aerion to duplicate.